RBRound 3

Kaelon Black

Pick 3.07 · 2026 Rookie Class

Major riser

56.2

Model Score

Scoring:PPR Half PPR Standard TEP (PPR)TEP (Half)TEP (Std)

Monitor OnlySpeculative

Fair Value

46.0

Dynasty model

Market Price

32.1

Current market

Season Score

36.6

Model projection

Strong Starter13.8%

Starter or Better21.2%

Usable Contributor30.7%

Miss / Bust69.3%

Tier 6 - Deep WatchLate Watch OnlyRound 3 · Pick #90

Historical Comps

Volatile Recursive Profile

Clear Early Role Path

High End

T.Chandler

Median

E.Gray

Low End

T.Ebner

Projected PPG Trajectory

4.6

Year 1

6.1

Year 2

4.7

Year 3

7.7

Peak

Upside Score25%

Failure Risk58%

Kaelon Black projects as a RB with Clear Early Role Path context. Trajectory: Y1 2.8, Y2 4.4, Y3 2.9, peak 7.7 PPG. Comps: high-end T.Chandler (6% match), median E.Gray (5% match), low-end T.Ebner (0% match).