QBRound 1
Fernando Mendoza
Pick 1.06 · 2026 Rookie Class
91.7
Model Score
Strong ValueHigh Confidence
Fair Value
90.6
Dynasty model
Market Price
80.4
Current market
Season Score
77.4
Model projection
Strong Starter73.0%
Starter or Better81.2%
Usable Contributor83.2%
Miss / Bust16.8%
Tier 2 - Priority 1stElite 1stRound 1 · Pick #1
Historical Comps
Elite Lifecycle ConfirmClear Early Role Path
High End
T.Lawrence
Median
C.Stroud
Low End
S.Darnold
Projected PPG Trajectory
TEP (Std)
13.5
Year 1
14.7
Year 2
16.0
Year 3
20.1
Peak
Upside Score68%
Failure Risk18%
Fernando Mendoza projects as a QB with Clear Early Role Path context. Trajectory: Y1 13.5, Y2 14.7, Y3 16.0, peak 20.1 PPG. Comps: high-end T.Lawrence (8% match), median C.Stroud (7% match), low-end S.Darnold (0% match).
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