QBRound 1

Fernando Mendoza

Pick 1.06 · 2026 Rookie Class

91.7

Model Score

Scoring:PPR Half PPR Standard TEP (PPR)TEP (Half)TEP (Std)

Strong ValueHigh Confidence

Fair Value

90.6

Dynasty model

Market Price

80.4

Current market

Season Score

77.4

Model projection

Strong Starter73.0%

Starter or Better81.2%

Usable Contributor83.2%

Miss / Bust16.8%

Tier 2 - Priority 1stElite 1stRound 1 · Pick #1

Historical Comps

Elite Lifecycle Confirm

Clear Early Role Path

High End

T.Lawrence

Median

C.Stroud

Low End

S.Darnold

Projected PPG Trajectory

TEP (PPR)

13.5

Year 1

14.7

Year 2

16.0

Year 3

20.1

Peak

Upside Score68%

Failure Risk18%

Fernando Mendoza projects as a QB with Clear Early Role Path context. Trajectory: Y1 13.5, Y2 14.7, Y3 16.0, peak 20.1 PPG. Comps: high-end T.Lawrence (8% match), median C.Stroud (7% match), low-end S.Darnold (0% match).

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