← Redraft Rankings
QBSEAUpside Bench
Sam Darnold
Overall #156 · QB23 · Strong Draftable
72.0
Redraft Score
Proj PPG
14.1
13.1 – 16.2 historical band
Elite Odds
0.0%
Elite fantasy finish
Starter+
19.3%
Starter or better
Miss Risk
52.6%
Bust / miss
PPG Projection Range
Full PPRFloor
13.1
Ceiling
16.2
14.1redraft model projection
Historical Comp Signal
Comp Avg Next Year
18.1
+4.0
vs redraft projection
Comps outperform projection — potential upside
Based on Starter Path Comp Set · 1.8 avg yrs relevant
Outcome Probability
Elite Fantasy Finish0.0%
Strong Starter0.0%
Starter or Better19.3%
Usable Contributor47.4%
Miss / Bust52.6%
Based on historical 2020–2025 outcomes for players in the same score band and position
Market Position
ADP
146
Model vs ADP
↓ 4 pts vs ADP
Value Label
Near Market
Profile Tags
Support
availability_supportconfidence_supportproduction_role_supportrole_efficiency_supportstable_useful_ppg_support
Risk
negative_trend_risk