← Redraft Rankings
QBKCStrong Playable Value
Patrick Mahomes II
Overall #82 · QB6 · Premium Starter
81.0
Redraft Score
Proj PPG
20.1
18.6 – 22.7 historical band
Elite Odds
40.0%
Elite fantasy finish
Starter+
96.7%
Starter or better
Miss Risk
1.7%
Bust / miss
PPG Projection Range
Full PPRFloor
18.6
Ceiling
22.7
20.1redraft model projection
Historical Comp Signal
Comp Avg Next Year
15.4
-4.7
vs redraft projection
Comps trail projection — historical data signals caution
Based on Starter Path Comp Set · 1.5 avg yrs relevant
Outcome Probability
Elite Fantasy Finish40.0%
Strong Starter83.3%
Starter or Better96.7%
Usable Contributor98.3%
Miss / Bust1.7%
Based on historical 2020–2025 outcomes for players in the same score band and position
Market Position
ADP
97
Model vs ADP
↑ 16 pts vs ADP
Value Label
Model Above Market
Profile Tags
Support
confidence_supportpositive_trend_supportproduction_role_supportqb_rushing_floor_supportrole_efficiency_supportstable_high_ppg_supportstable_useful_ppg_support