WRRound 4⚠ Trap risk | Major faller
Ted Hurst
Pick 4.01 · 2026 Rookie Class
82.8
Model Score
Trap RiskSolid Profile
Fair Value
74.2
Dynasty model
Market Price
49.8
Current market
Season Score
40.7
Model projection
Strong Starter26.8%
Starter or Better37.0%
Usable Contributor53.4%
Miss / Bust46.6%
Tier 4 - Draftable With ConvictionLate 1st / Early 2ndRound 3 · Pick #84⚠ Trap risk⚠ Major faller
Historical Comps
Volatile Recursive ProfilePositive Context
High End
DeVonta Smith
Median
Chris Olave
Low End
R.Bateman
Projected PPG Trajectory
Half PPR
4.7
Year 1
5.7
Year 2
5.7
Year 3
12.9
Peak
Upside Score44%
Failure Risk38%
Ted Hurst projects as a WR with Positive Context context. Trajectory: Y1 4.7, Y2 5.7, Y3 5.7, peak 12.9 PPG. Comps: high-end DeVonta Smith (4% match), median Chris Olave (4% match), low-end R.Bateman (1% match).
Profile Tags
Risk
WR Production/Efficiency Trap RiskWR High-Production Late-Capital RiskWR Efficiency Spike Risk