RBFATier 5 — Sell / Avoid

Jonathan Williams

Age 32.6 · High Age Risk

8.0

Dynasty FV

Fair Value

8.0

Dynasty model

Market Price

3.7

Current market

Market Delta

-4.3

Market vs model

Proj PPG

10.0

Standard · blended

Dynasty Odds

Strong Starter0.0%

Starter or Better0.0%

Veteran dynasty model — starter probability estimates

Standard

2026 PPG

10.0

Lifecycle projection

2027 Est

12.6

Lifecycle yr 2

Peak PPG

14.9

Comp-avg peak

Overall #942RB #263Bench

Elite Season0.0%

Strong Season0.0%

Starter or Better0.0%

2.3 yrs relevant8% cliff risk

Starter Path Comp Set

aging_touchdown_rb_riskavailability_risknegative_trend_risk

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