RBFATier 5 — Sell / Avoid
Joe Mixon
Age 30.1 · High Age Risk
33.0
Dynasty FV
Fair Value
33.0
Dynasty model
Market Price
37.8
Current market
Market Delta
+4.8
Market vs model
Proj PPG
15.2
Half PPR · blended
Dynasty Odds
Strong Starter18.8%
Starter or Better54.7%
Veteran dynasty model — starter probability estimates
2026–2027 Outlook
Half PPR2026 PPG
15.2
Lifecycle projection
Ceiling
12.0
Upside ceiling
Overall #133RB #47Playable
Elite Season0.9%
Strong Season18.8%
Starter or Better54.7%
Risk Flags
aging_touchdown_rb_risk
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