RBARITier 5 — Sell / Avoid
James Conner
Age 31.3 · High Age Risk
25.8
Dynasty FV
Fair Value
25.8
Dynasty model
Market Price
27.4
Current market
Market Delta
+1.6
Market vs model
Proj PPG
5.1
TEP (Std) · blended
Dynasty Odds
Strong Starter18.8%
Starter or Better54.7%
Veteran dynasty model — starter probability estimates
2026–2027 Outlook
TEP (Std)2026 PPG
5.1
Lifecycle projection
2027 Est
2.1
Lifecycle yr 2
Peak PPG
3.4
Comp-avg peak
Overall #130RB #45Playable
Elite Season0.9%
Strong Season18.8%
Starter or Better54.7%
0.2 yrs relevant25% cliff risk
Unstable / Mixed Comp SetRisk Flags
aging_touchdown_rb_riskavailability_risknegative_trend_risk
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