RBRound 3
Emmett Johnson
Pick 3.04 · 2026 Rookie Class
72.5
Model Score
Monitor OnlySolid Profile
Fair Value
50.2
Dynasty model
Market Price
53.8
Current market
Season Score
36.4
Model projection
Strong Starter20.6%
Starter or Better32.7%
Usable Contributor41.0%
Miss / Bust59.0%
Tier 6 - Deep WatchLate Watch OnlyRound 5 · Pick #161
Historical Comps
Volatile Recursive ProfileBlocked / Delayed Path
High End
Breece Hall
Median
Bijan Robinson
Low End
D.Vaughn
Projected PPG Trajectory
Standard
4.7
Year 1
5.1
Year 2
4.6
Year 3
9.8
Peak
Upside Score47%
Failure Risk37%
Emmett Johnson projects as a RB with Blocked / Delayed Path context. Trajectory: Y1 6.5, Y2 6.8, Y3 6.4, peak 9.8 PPG. Comps: high-end Breece Hall (3% match), median Bijan Robinson (3% match), low-end D.Vaughn (0% match).
Profile Tags
Risk
RB Late-Capital Risk