RBBALTier 5 — Sell / Avoid

Derrick Henry

Age 32.7 · High Age Risk

31.1

Dynasty FV

Fair Value

31.1

Dynasty model

Market Price

32.4

Current market

Market Delta

+1.3

Market vs model

Proj PPG

9.4

TEP (Half) · blended

Dynasty Odds

Strong Starter71.7%

Starter or Better93.3%

Veteran dynasty model — starter probability estimates

TEP (Half)

2026 PPG

9.4

Lifecycle projection

2027 Est

6.2

Lifecycle yr 2

Peak PPG

7.4

Comp-avg peak

Overall #17RB #8Elite

Elite Season29.2%

Strong Season71.7%

Starter or Better93.3%

0.5 yrs relevant42% cliff risk

Unstable / Mixed Comp Set

aging_touchdown_rb_risknegative_trend_risk

See what Derrick Henry is worth in a trade