RBFATier 5 — Sell / Avoid
David Johnson
Age 33.7 · High Age Risk
11.8
Dynasty FV
Fair Value
11.8
Dynasty model
Market Price
8.6
Current market
Market Delta
-3.2
Market vs model
Proj PPG
0.7
Standard · blended
Dynasty Odds
Strong Starter0.0%
Starter or Better0.0%
Veteran dynasty model — starter probability estimates
2026–2027 Outlook
Standard2026 PPG
0.7
Lifecycle projection
2027 Est
-0.2
Lifecycle yr 2
Peak PPG
0.3
Comp-avg peak
Overall #704RB #206Bench
Elite Season0.0%
Strong Season0.0%
Starter or Better0.0%
0.0 yrs relevant17% cliff risk
Unstable / Mixed Comp SetRisk Flags
aging_touchdown_rb_riskavailability_risknegative_trend_risk
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