WRFATier 5 — Sell / Avoid

Chris Moore

Age 33.2 · High Age Risk

31.5

Dynasty FV

Fair Value

31.5

Dynasty model

Market Price

43.0

Current market

Market Delta

+11.5

Market vs model

Proj PPG

2.8

Half PPR · blended

Dynasty Odds

Strong Starter0.6%

Starter or Better1.2%

Veteran dynasty model — starter probability estimates

Half PPR

2026 PPG

2.8

Lifecycle projection

2027 Est

1.5

Lifecycle yr 2

Peak PPG

2.8

Comp-avg peak

Overall #362WR #157Bench

Elite Season0.0%

Strong Season0.6%

Starter or Better1.2%

0.0 yrs relevant25% cliff risk

Unstable / Mixed Comp Set

aging_td_efficiency_riskwr_efficiency_spike_candidatewr_target_volume_fragility_risk

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