QBRound 2
Carson Beck
Pick 2.11 · 2026 Rookie Class
68.3
Model Score
Monitor OnlySolid Profile
Fair Value
72.8
Dynasty model
Market Price
28.7
Current market
Season Score
33.1
Model projection
Strong Starter21.8%
Starter or Better33.4%
Usable Contributor47.3%
Miss / Bust52.7%
Tier 4 - Draftable With ConvictionLate 1st / Early 2ndRound 3 · Pick #65
Historical Comps
Volatile Recursive ProfileClear Early Role Path
High End
W.Grier
Median
T.Tagovailoa
Low End
K.Mond
Projected PPG Trajectory
TEP (Half)
7.3
Year 1
6.3
Year 2
5.7
Year 3
11.6
Peak
Upside Score33%
Failure Risk44%
Carson Beck projects as a QB with Clear Early Role Path context. Trajectory: Y1 7.3, Y2 6.3, Y3 5.7, peak 11.6 PPG. Comps: high-end W.Grier (11% match), median T.Tagovailoa (8% match), low-end K.Mond (0% match).
Profile Tags
Risk
QB Mid-Profile Risk