WRRound 4⚠ Trap risk | Major faller

Bryce Lance

Pick 4.08 · 2026 Rookie Class

72.6

Model Score

Scoring:PPR Half PPR Standard TEP (PPR)TEP (Half)TEP (Std)

Trap RiskSpeculative

Fair Value

52.8

Dynasty model

Market Price

25.3

Current market

Season Score

30.6

Model projection

Strong Starter17.0%

Starter or Better25.4%

Usable Contributor40.1%

Miss / Bust59.9%

Tier 6 - Deep WatchLate Watch OnlyRound 4 · Pick #136⚠ Trap risk⚠ Major faller

Historical Comps

Volatile Recursive Profile

Positive Context

High End

A.Perry

Median

J.Tolbert

Low End

Khalil Shakir

Projected PPG Trajectory

Half PPR

3.5

Year 1

4.2

Year 2

4.9

Year 3

9.2

Peak

Upside Score33%

Failure Risk44%

Bryce Lance projects as a WR with Positive Context context. Trajectory: Y1 3.5, Y2 4.2, Y3 4.9, peak 9.2 PPG. Comps: high-end A.Perry (3% match), median J.Tolbert (2% match), low-end Khalil Shakir (0% match).

Profile Tags

Support

WR Weak Draft-Capital Risk

Risk

WR Production/Efficiency Trap RiskWR High-Production Late-Capital RiskWR Efficiency Spike Risk