QBDeep Board

Arch Manning

Pick 10.10 · 2026 Rookie Class

4.2

Model Score

Scoring:PPR Half PPR Standard TEP (PPR)TEP (Half)TEP (Std)

Monitor OnlySpeculative

Strong Starter10.0%

Starter or Better17.6%

Usable Contributor29.3%

Miss / Bust70.7%

Historical Comps

Volatile Recursive Profile

Positive Context

High End

D.Mills

Median

D.Thompson-Robinson

Low End

W.Grier

Projected PPG Trajectory

Half PPR

6.0

Year 1

5.8

Year 2

4.1

Year 3

9.3

Peak

Upside Score21%

Failure Risk59%

Arch Manning projects as a QB with Positive Context context. Trajectory: Y1 6.0, Y2 5.8, Y3 4.1, peak 9.3 PPG. Comps: high-end D.Mills (22% match), median D.Thompson-Robinson (5% match), low-end W.Grier (0% match).

Profile Tags

Risk

QB Mid-Profile Risk