WRDeep Board

Anthony Smith

Pick 5.07 · 2026 Rookie Class

50.8

Model Score

Scoring:PPR Half PPR Standard TEP (PPR)TEP (Half)TEP (Std)

Monitor OnlySpeculative

Fair Value

45.4

Dynasty model

Market Price

0.0

Current market

Season Score

22.9

Model projection

Strong Starter11.8%

Starter or Better16.7%

Usable Contributor26.8%

Miss / Bust73.2%

Tier 6 - Deep WatchLate Watch OnlyRound 7 · Pick #218

Historical Comps

Volatile Recursive Profile

Blocked / Delayed Path

High End

S.Williams

Median

P.Nacua

Low End

T.Tucker

Projected PPG Trajectory

TEP (Half)

2.5

Year 1

2.3

Year 2

2.6

Year 3

7.0

Peak

Upside Score20%

Failure Risk58%

Anthony Smith projects as a WR with Blocked / Delayed Path context. Trajectory: Y1 2.5, Y2 2.3, Y3 2.6, peak 7.0 PPG. Comps: high-end S.Williams (17% match), median P.Nacua (13% match), low-end T.Tucker (1% match).

Career Outlook

Unstable / Mixed Comp Set

Next-Yr PPG (TEP (Half))

2.0

Comp-avg projection

Cliff Risk

17%

P(drops off next yr)

Based on historical comps with similar production profiles. Lifecycle model projects forward starter relevance.

Profile Tags

Risk

WR Efficiency Spike Risk