RBRound 4
Seth McGowan
Pick 4.02 · 2026 Rookie Class
62.2
Model Score
Monitor OnlySpeculative
Fair Value
52.2
Dynasty model
Market Price
19.8
Current market
Season Score
33.3
Model projection
Strong Starter8.9%
Starter or Better14.3%
Usable Contributor31.4%
Miss / Bust68.6%
Tier 6 - Deep WatchLate Watch OnlyRound 7 · Pick #237
Historical Comps
Volatile Recursive ProfileBlocked / Delayed Path
High End
D.Vaughn
Median
T.Badie
Low End
Bijan Robinson
Projected PPG Trajectory
3.6
Year 1
3.9
Year 2
3.7
Year 3
6.0
Peak
Upside Score18%
Failure Risk70%
Seth McGowan projects as a RB with Blocked / Delayed Path context. Trajectory: Y1 1.9, Y2 2.1, Y3 2.0, peak 6.0 PPG. Comps: high-end D.Vaughn (3% match), median T.Badie (3% match), low-end Bijan Robinson (0% match).
Profile Tags
Risk
RB Late-Capital Risk