WRRound 1
KC Concepcion
Pick 1.03 · 2026 Rookie Class
100.0
Model Score
Priority Value - VolatileHigh Confidence
Fair Value
85.1
Dynasty model
Market Price
88.7
Current market
Season Score
68.8
Model projection
Strong Starter75.1%
Starter or Better83.3%
Usable Contributor83.7%
Miss / Bust16.3%
Tier 3 - Strong Draft TargetElite 1stRound 1 · Pick #24
Historical Comps
Strong Starter ConfirmPositive Context
High End
J.Addison
Median
DeVonta Smith
Low End
Dav.Bell
Projected PPG Trajectory
12.8
Year 1
13.9
Year 2
14.5
Year 3
19.6
Peak
Upside Score67%
Failure Risk22%
KC Concepcion projects as a WR with Positive Context context. Trajectory: Y1 10.3, Y2 11.4, Y3 12.0, peak 19.6 PPG. Comps: high-end J.Addison (25% match), median DeVonta Smith (25% match), low-end Dav.Bell (19% match).
In-Season Breakout Tracking
Watchlist55
Latest Score
55
Peak Score
Wk 4
First Flag
Signal: Target Earner
Weekly History
| Wk | Score | Tier | Tgts | Car | Tgt% | Snap% | FPts | Proj PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47 | No Signal | 5 | 3 | 23% | 69% | 7.8 | 9.2 |
| 2 | 50 | No Signal | 6 | 1 | 20% | 66% | 8.2 | 9.7 |
| 3 | 52 | No Signal | 9 | 0 | 30% | 86% | 2.9 | 9.9 |
| 4 | 55 | Watchlist | 8 | 0 | 24% | 92% | 11.4 | 10.3 |
Score = breakout combo signal strength (0–100) · Proj PPG = forward PPG from that week
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